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Highactive22 days ago

NYC Exodus / CBC 'Competitive NYC' Report — Tax-the-Rich Sustainability

Citizens Budget Commission released "Competitive NYC" Value Proposition Tracker — the Sun May 2 NY Post Editorial Board summary frames it as a direct fiscal indictment of Mamdani's spending agenda. Headline numbers: (1) people who moved out of NYC 2019-2023 earned $68B more than those who moved in; (2) NYC lost ~114,000 net domestic residents to other US cities in 2025; (3) 2025 outflow spread across all income levels for the first time; (4) NY State's share of US millionaires dropped 31% between 2010 and 2022 — more than any other state; (5) had NY held 2010's share, NYC would have collected ~$2B more in personal income tax this year (~$13B more state+city PIT in 2022); (6) DOE enrollment fell 88,300 between 2014-15 and 2020-21, then another 69,600 by 2024-25, leaving 249 schools at <50% capacity and 596 at 50-80%. CBC's policy ask: spending cuts, not tax hikes, to stem population losses. NY Post Editorial: Mamdani's $127B budget unsustainable without cuts; Albany "won't be offering much more help" beyond the few billion already on the table; tax-the-rich approach will accelerate the exodus. Mamdani's frame: addressing affordability is the way to retain residents — "Black and Latino New Yorkers" have "been pushed out for decades" and tax-the-rich revenue funds the policies that keep middle-income families. The Hochul rejection of PTET (Apr 28) and Wall Street rallying around Griffin (Bloomberg May 1) compound the political problem. Watch: CBC follow-up reports, May 12 executive budget, Hochul state-deal language on millionaire-attraction policy.

Update2026-05-11

Andrew Murstein (Medallion Financial) launched "Operation Boomerang" over the weekend — $1M pledge + NY hot dogs/bagels/Katz's Deli to firms that fled to FL/TX after Mamdani's Tax Day pied-à-terre video. Apollo's Marc Rowan reportedly fast-tracking a second HQ outside NYC. Adds to the Citadel-Vornado-Apollo exodus arc; Partnership for NYC member firms = ~1M jobs / ~$13.5B annual taxes.

Update2026-05-12

Townhall/American Partisan reporting Apollo's Marc Rowan plotting second HQ in FL or TX (up to 1,000 jobs). Pairs with Citadel/Griffin Miami doubling-down and Vornado/Roth public attack. Murstein's "Operation Boomerang" ($1M + NY bagels/Katz's) is the counter-narrative — but optics are that three of the top financial firms have signaled exit moves in the past 30 days.

Update2026-05-13

Trump on WABC: "When you lose people like that, it's sort of not recoverable" — federalizes the exodus narrative. Pairs with Apollo's Rowan FL/TX 2nd HQ, Citadel's Griffin Miami doubling-down, Vornado's Roth "irresponsible and dangerous." Counter-narrative thickens: CNBC May 12 (luxury Manhattan holding up) + Sanders Wed praise + Mamdani $124.7B budget that DROPS the broad property-tax hike preserves the affordability-narrative side of the ledger. Operation Boomerang ($1M Murstein pledge + bagels/Katz's) still the lone proactive counter-recruitment play. Next inflection: whether one of the publicly-signaling firms (Apollo first up) actually moves or whether the Hochul-Mamdani budget de-escalates.

Update2026-05-23

Mamdani Wall Street engagement tour widens — Mon May 18 first in-person Mamdani-Dimon meeting at JPMorgan's 270 Park HQ (genial readout, Dimon pushed permitting streamline + government waste); Goldman's Solomon, Blackstone's Gray, BofA's Moynihan all sat down in May. Crain's frames it as Mamdani "continuing to court" Wall Street; Fox Business calls it "easing concerns" after the viral Griffin-tax video. The counter-recruitment narrative (Murstein's Operation Boomerang + CNBC luxury-real-estate counter) plus the Hochul-Mamdani $8B closing of the $12B gap is softening exodus rhetoric while no firms have actually moved.

Defense

The CBC report documents long-term trends driven primarily by housing costs, not tax policy. Mamdani's affordability agenda — childcare, rent stabilization, grocery access — is the correct response to middle-income out-migration.

Criticism

When Apollo, Citadel, and Vornado publicly signal exits in the same month, the threat is real. The CBC data shows NY's millionaire share dropping faster than any other state, threatening the tax base that funds the progressive agenda.

Sources